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探究中华金沙鳅产卵与环境因素的关系,为金沙江下游梯级水库面向中华金沙鳅及其他鱼类产卵繁殖“人造洪峰”调度提供参考资料。基于2019—2024年3—7月在保护区干流宜宾、合江、江津等6个断面的鱼类早期资源调查结果,采用随机森林模型,分析了中华金沙鳅产卵发生与生境条件的关系,辨识了影响中华金沙鳅产卵活动发生的重要环境变量及其交互影响效应。结果显示:日平均水温(WT)、日平均流量(WD)和日平均透明度(TR)是影响长江上游保护区干流江段中华金沙鳅产卵活动发生的主要变量,中华金沙鳅的产卵发生主要受到产卵发生日生境条件的影响;WD、WT、TR、日平均水位(WL)以及水温过18℃的累积天数(DWT18)间的交互效应最为明显;当环境条件满足:WD在1 560~5 620 m3/s、WT处于14.2~20.4℃、TR处于80~350 cm,以及DWT18超过28 d时,中华金沙鳅发生产卵活动的概率可在75%以上。
Abstract:In this study, we analyzed the relationship between spawning occurrence of Jinshaia sinensis and habitat conditions in the conservation area below Xiangjiaba dam on the Jinsha and Yangtze Rivers.The random forest model was used to generate multiple decision trees and the key environmental variables that influence spawning, and their interactions, were identified. The study was based on early stage fish resource data collected daily during March-July from 2019 to 2024, at six sections in the conservation reserve. The six sections included Yibin, Luzhou, Hejiang, Zhutuo, Youxi and Jiangjin, that are 30,150, 230, 265, 316 and 335 km, respectively, downstream of Xiangjiaba dam. Results show: 1) The daily mean water temperature(WT), daily mean discharge(WD), and daily mean transparency(TR) were the primary and critical influencing variables affecting J. sinensis spawning in the reserve. The occurrence of J. sinensis spawning was primarily driven by habitat conditions on the day of spawning. 2) The variables WD, WT, TR, daily average water level(WL), and cumulative days with water temperature exceeding 18 ℃(DWT18) exhibited significant interactive effects in predicting the probability J. sinensis spawning.Among these, the interactive effect between flow rate and water temperature was most pronounced.3) When WD was 1 560-5 620 m3/s, WT was 14.2-20.4 °C, TR was 80-350 cm, and DWT18 exceeded 28 days, the probability of J. sinensis spawning exceeded 0.75. These findings provide a scientific basis for regulating artificial flood peaks through the cascaded reservoirs in the lower Jinsha River to enhance spawning and reproduction of J. sinensis and other fish species.
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基本信息:
DOI:10.15928/j.1674-3075.202507130004
中图分类号:Q958.8
引用信息:
[1]周涛,曹俊,封保根,等.长江上游珍稀特有鱼类国家级自然保护区干流江段中华金沙鳅产卵活动发生的生境需求研究[J].水生态学杂志,2025,46(06):81-92.DOI:10.15928/j.1674-3075.202507130004.
基金信息:
国家重点研发计划课题(2021YFC3200304); 中国三峡集团有限公司科研项目(0704208); 中国长江三峡集团有限公司自主科研项目(BNYG202300648)